Processing math: 100%
Stochastic SIR model
There is also a
simplified version
.
Event rates
Infection:
β
⋅
I
⋅
S
N
−
1
⟹
Recovery:
γ
⋅
I
⟹
Parameters
R
0
:
1.4
⟹
β
:
0.350
Infectious period
(
1
γ
)
:
4 days
⟹
γ
:
0.250
Population size
(
N
)
:
20
Outbreak
Random events
Extinction
Take-off
Start outbreak
Next event
Run to end